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Towards a European Monetary Fund

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The European Commission is discussing the idea of creating a monetary fund modeled on the Washington-based International Monetary Fund (IMF). The new fund‘s role would be to assist EU members in dealing with financial issues and fight against speculation, as it is the case with Greece.

After the implementation of a unique currency and a common central bank (ECB), a European Monetary Fund seems like the next logical step towards assuring EU stability.

Preliminary work is already in progress and a proposal could be presented in June.

However, it could take time and a lot of efforts before the project sees the light, and it is unlikely that is could serve to help Greece.

Many issues have to be resolved such as the way it would be funded, choosing the penalties on failure to observe fiscal discipline, and the question of leadership of the new institution.

On those issues, the EMF could face strong resistance amongst EU countries who‘s economy is more fragile than that of Germany or France.

How will it affect the euro?

The euro is unlikely to be affected in the short term as we are still far from the EMF. Hence, the falloff could continue.

However, we can imagine that a repetition of the Greek deficit problem would not only be less likely to happen, but would also be defused much more quickly. Moreover, speculative damage done to the euro could be prevented.

Meanwhile, all indicates that Germany and France will have to continue to spend their money in order to hold together the EU.

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